Jan
College Basketball Picks - 1/7/07
Some quick notes from yesterday’s action:
Texas A&M struggled with a feisty Kansas State, but ended up getting the win (which tells me a lot about the squads ability to gut it out and get a W when they’re not playing their best). Huggy Bear is apparently reading
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RFS now, since the Mildcats shifted much of their PG duties. Despite losing Bill Walker early to what appeared to be a knee injury, K-State impressed me with their play in a hostile environment. They were way better than the team I saw earlier in the week against Xavier.
Creighton rode Isaac Miles and Anthony Tolliver to a second half run and a convincing win at Evansville. With the exceptions of away games at Missouri State, Southern Illinois, Northern Iowa, and Wichita State, I wouldn’t expect Creighton to be getting points in any more games this year (barring significant injuries).
I only saw the last 10 minutes of the game, but LSU appeared to be in control against UConn. “Never tested”, if you read the racing forms. Not unexpected, since I think that was only UConn’s second road game and Baton Rouge is a brutal venue. UConn will still hold their own with the top 4 teams in the Big East and destroy the weak bottom 2/3 of the conference.
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Washington State controlled ‘Zony, but gave it away at the end of regulation with an out of control point guard and allowing some big 3s (I’ll admit they were contested). No worries in Pullman though, because they controlled overtime as well and stormed the court at the end. Very few things bring a tear to RFS’ eye like a good old fashioned court-storming against perenially overrated, underperforming ‘Zony. I was very impressed by Chase Budinger though - if he stays in school he will easily be an All-American.
I didn’t watch Indy State, Okie State, or Bradley. But the Trees won outright (as hypothesized right here), the Cowboys missed covering by a 1/2 point, and Bradley made Drake Illy State’s buddy in the MVC cellar.
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TODAY’S PICKS:
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(2 units) Wichita State + 5.5 @ Missouri State - This pick is strictly spread-based. While I understand that college basketball is a home court advantage unlike any other in sports, these teams are too evenly matched to hang 5 1/2 points around Mo State’s neck. 3 would be tougher. Plus, you have to consider the fact that Mark Turgeon and the Shocks have OWNED Barry Hinson and the Bears for quite some time. Maybe that means Mo State is due, but I’m willing to say there’s a 60% chance that the Shocks are ready to get back on track and continue climbing the Valley standings. Either way… 5 1/2 is too much.
(2 units) Michigan State + 5.5 @ Indiana - Many of the same comments as the previous game regarding the spread. I haven’t seen the Spartans play since they beat Texas early in the season, and Indiana impressed me with their pressure D against a feisty Southern Illinois team. Unless there’s some Michigan State injuries of which I’m not aware, they can win this one outright. Either way… 5 1/2 is too much.
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(1 unit) Syracuse + 3 @ Marquette - If there’s one team that I hate picking more than Arizona, it’s probably Syracuse. Particularly on the road, where you have the UConn-type “hey Coach, I thought we were playing every game at home this year” factor. To put a stat on it, ‘Cuse has played 15 games so far this year, and ONE of them was on the road. At Canisius. For comparative purposes, Wichita State plays it’s 15th game of the year today - it’s 8th road game.
However, ‘Cuse does have a scary amount of talent, a sense that they belong at the very top of the Big East, and a loss this week to Pitt in the Carrier Dome. They need this one, so I’ll take the points.
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Cumulative Prognostication Record: 42-33-4 (56%)
Cumulative Prognostication Net Units: +6
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